Probability - Who is going to win the card game?

Team: 
ICS 6
Topic: Probability, Counting & Combinatorics
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What card will be dealt next? When one is confident she is going to win, the girls call in their friend and fellow classmate Detective Sydney!

Common Core Standards: 7.SP.8
Problem #: 
115 (2015-2016)
Problem Difficulty Level: 4 [?]